At least according to 538 which is never wrong.
Nate Silver's Rankings (% chance of advancing)
USA (68.6)
SLO (64.2)
ENG (53.9)
ALG (13.2)
Oddly, ENG has the best chance to win (35.1), but we're second at 33.4.
We have the 16th best chance to win it all: 1.16.
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god, i love 538. your brothers doppleganger continues to do well
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